In Islam there is a concept called “hudna.” Hudna represents a truce made because Islamists have found themselves in a state of temporary weakness due to lack of numbers or lack of material. I suspect that the recent truce in Lebanon would fall into that category.
On December 2nd, Breitbart reported:
The ceasefire in Lebanon, barely five days old, is near collapse as of Monday after Hezbollah fired rockets at Israel, following the Biden-Harris administration’s erroneous claim that Israeli surveillance drones violated the agreement.
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported Monday that two Hezbollah rockets had been fired at Har (Mount) Dov, a strategic mountain that Breitbart News visited last Thursday and which Hezbollah claims, wrongly, is Lebanese.
No international authority recognizes Hezbollah’s claim, but the Iranian-backed terror group wants Israel to give up the mountain, which commands all of northern Israel below. Before Israel went on the offensive in the war, the Biden -Harris administration tried to convince Israel to comply with Hezbollah’s demands and withdraw from Har Dov.
Hezbollah’s rocket fire followed the Biden-Harris administration’s claim that Israel had violated the ceasefire by flying surveillance drones over Beirut. As Breitbart News noted earlier Monday, nothing in the text of the ceasefire agreement prevents that, and the deal explicitly states that each side may engage in legitimate self-defense activity.
The article concludes:
IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi said: “We will respond decisively to Hezbollah’s severe violation of the ceasefire — and will continue to do so. We have plans and targets ready to be carried out and at any given moment.”
Despite the breakdown, the Pentagon reportedly said that the ceasefire agreement is still in effect in Lebanon.
Update: In a statement Monday evening, the IDF said:
A short while ago, the IAF [Israeli Air Force] struck Hezbollah terrorists, dozens of launchers, and terrorist infrastructure throughout Lebanon. Additionally, the IAF struck the Hezbollah launcher in the area of Berghoz in southern Lebanon shortly after the launch of the two projectiles toward Mount Dov.
Hezbollah’s launches tonight constitute a violation of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon. The State of Israel demands that the relevant parties in Lebanon fulfill their responsibilities and prevent Hezbollah’s hostile activity from within Lebanese territory. The State of Israel remains obligated to the fulfillment of the conditions of the ceasefire agreement in Lebanon.
The IDF is prepared to continue operating wherever necessary and will continue to operate to defend Israeli civilians.
Until America gets an administration that supports Israel, the ceasefire in Lebanon will not hold. Any time Hezbollah feels that it has enough weapons to launch an attack on northern Israel, they will probably launch that attack, knowing there will be no consequences from America. We can expect that to change on January 20th.