Follow the money is a principle that works in a lot of different settings. In politics it sometimes tells us who is behind certain policies and laws, and in business it sometimes explains decisions that seem to have no logical basis. In elections, it can provide information into what a campaign’s internal polling numbers are telling them.

On Tuesday, Townhall reported:

While we’ve been saying that this election will likely come down to seven key battleground states, and it still could, former and potentially future President Donald Trump is enjoying momentum so strong he may not just win in most or in all of those states, but in other states not traditionally considered to be battleground states. Now, in the final days before the election, there looks to be more states seriously in play, and it looks like Vice President Kamala Harris knows it too, which may explain why she’s pulling her ads from North Carolina markets.

The article concludes:

This always was going to be one of the potentially trickier swing states, given how other than Trump’s win in 2016, it’s gone for the Democratic nominee every year since 1984. RCP still has Trump leading by +0.5, while Silver has Harris up by +0.4 there, though the state has trended Republican as well, by +0.3 over the last week and by +1.5 over the past month. 

Beyond the polls, though, the momentum from the Trump campaign is undeniable, as is the panic from the Harris campaign. As Kinnett himself has predicted, we could very well end up finding out the results by the very next afternoon after Election Day, with Wisconsin a win for Trump and Virginia coming close to it.

There is a lot more early voting this year than usual. Part of that is due to what happened on election day in 2020 when election machines failed and people waited in line for hours in some states. Part of that is also due to the Trump campaign’s encouraging voters to vote early. It will be interesting to see how many people will have voted by election day and how quickly the votes can be tabulated.