I am writing this on Friday, May 1. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) left the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) today. Saudi Arabia will no longer control how much oil the UAE can sell. It will be interesting to see what happens to crude oil prices in the next week. But there is another wrinkle in this that is important.The Habshan-Fujairah pipeline became operational in June 2012. It goes from the Habshan plant to the Fujairah Oil Terminal in the Gulf of Oman.

Here is the map:

As you can see, the pipeline allows oil shipments from the UAE to avoid the Strait of Hormuz.

On Thursday, The Pipeline Technology Journal reported:

The United Arab Emirates announced its departure from OPEC on Wednesday, as the Habshan-Fujairah pipeline becomes its strategic lifeline, guaranteeing more oil to the global market.

Coming amid the Strait of Hormuz closure, the move signals a seismic shift in global energy geopolitics and a pivot toward Western market stability.

The decision underscores the growing importance of the UAE’s strategic infrastructure—specifically the Habshan-Fujairah pipeline. 

Unlike the export routes used by many of its neighbors, the Fujairah pipeline allows the UAE to transport crude directly from its inland fields to the Gulf of Oman, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz entirely.

By utilizing this 230-mile overland route, the UAE can guarantee the delivery of up to 2 million barrels of oil per day to international markets. 

This capability provides a critical safety valve for global supplies, which total approximately 100 million barrels daily, at a time when regional tensions have turned the Strait of Hormuz into a volatile maritime chokepoint.

The Strait has long been the “weak link” in global energy security. While previous conflicts involving the Soviet Union, Iran, and Iraq failed to shutter the waterway, recent diplomatic and military pressures have heightened fears of a prolonged disruption. 

The UAE’s ability to “pull the trigger” on an alternative route effectively fractures the historical monopoly held by Middle Eastern producers since OPEC’s formation in 1960.

Analysts suggest the move reflects a broader rebalancing of energy power toward the United States. Following the 2022 sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines, which saw Europe trade Russian gas for American supplies, a similar trend is emerging in the oil sector. 

This is what you get when you elect a businessman as President of America.