Zero Hedge posted an article today with the headline, “Ghana Becomes First Country To Officially End MMT Experiment.” MMT is the abbreviation for Modern Monetary Theory. It’s basic tenet is that printing an endless supply of money and having a central bank fund the deficit. Basically as long as the spending is kept within your own country, your citizens will not notice how worthless their money has become.
The article reports:
There are just two problems: MMT is neither modern, nor monetary, nor is it a theory, although economists – especially socialists – are delighted to define it as such as it validates their worldview that somehow society can get richer if only people print more money, as if nobody has thought of that before (spoiler alert: they have, and the consequences have been devastating every time).
We won’t waste readers’ time on the intellectually bankrupt garbage that is socialist philosophy (because it is nothing more than that) that is the “Magic Money Tree” (See “MMT: Not Modern, Not Monetary, Not A Theory“) but we will note that some countries are smart enough to know that going down the money printing route leads to disaster. We will also point out that it is not a western nation – all of those advanced countries are desperately printing money in hopes of sparking currency devaluation and at least modest hyperinflation – but an African country that is now the epitome of sound monetary practices.
On Friday, Bank of Ghana Governor Ernest Addison effectively shut down MMT in his country when he ruled out providing more loans to the government to help narrow the budget shortfall, saying it would put exchange-rate stability at risk (for those confused: virtually every single developed and developing central bank is currently doing just that – printing money to fund the government deficit).
The central bank shelved its zero-financing policy this year to lend the government 10 billion cedis ($1.7 billion) to help mitigate the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the West African economy. The bank ended its explicit support of fiscal policy just as Ghana’s budget deficit is projected to reach 11.4% of GDP by the end of December, more than triple the initial target of 4.7% of GDP.
The article concludes:
And so one MMT experiment ends with a whimper, although since no other central bank is willing to to take “difficult decisions”, it will be a while before Ghana’s shining example is followed by other central banks.
Ghana’s cedi has had its most stable spell in more than a decade this year, weakening 2.6% to the U.S. dollar. That’s even as the global health crisis drove Ghana’s ratio of debt to gross domestic product to 71% in September, the highest in four years. And now that wanton money printing is out of the agenda, the cedi may soon well be one of the world’s most valuable fiat currencies.
Hang on to your hat. I don’t want to see the day when a loaf of bread costs ten dollars, but that is the danger on the road ahead.