When The Labor Market Changes Faster Than Education

On Monday, Real Clear Markets posted the following headline:

The Labor Market Is Evolving Faster Than the Four-Year Degree

The article reports:

This summer, millions of graduates will face prolonged unemployment or underemployment in a frozen labor market – not because their degrees are inherently useless, but because employers no longer need the knowledge and skills they spent years developing. The real problem with higher education today is not access, cost, or quality, but its timing.

Each year, college freshmen are required to make long-term decisions about their education with little information about their strengths as job seekers, or the labor market they will eventually enter. Majors and coursework are often decided at the outset of enrollment, based on guidance or guesswork about employment conditions years into the future. Shifting gears is possible, but a costly endeavor involving additional semesters, sometimes years, of further schooling.

At the same time, a significant portion of coursework keeping students off the labor market is not directly tied to their intended career paths. In fact, a mere 40 percent of students complete internships or work-based learning programs prior to graduation.

The consequence is a growing disconnect between when education occurs and when it is most valuable. Students are asked to frontload their learning – acquiring most of their skills before entering the workforce – rather than developing them alongside real-world experience. This delays feedback, limits adaptability, and increases the risk that their education does not align with employers’ current needs.

There are some very good points made here, but there are also some things being overlooked. Years ago I worked for a company that I would describe as change-resistant. The person in charge of the day-to-day operations was set in his ways and resistant to computers and basic human resource requirements. He was pretty much running the company the way it would have been run in the early 1970’s. At one point the owner’s son came in and began running the business. He was young and had a much more contemporary business background. His attempts to bring the company into the twenty-first century were met with major resistance. Eventually the company failed. How marketable your college skills are depends very much on the career path you choose–there are many older companies out there that are looking for a slow transition to the twenty-first century. Today’s college students could probably meet that need.

Please follow the link to read the entire article.

The Biden Tax Increases

On Thursday, Real Clear Markets posted an article about the tax increase in President Biden’s proposed budget.

The article reports:

With his new budget proposing an incredible $4.7 trillion in tax increases, President Biden has secured his legacy as history’s biggest tax increaser. The size and scope of his tax increases are unprecedented, with Treasury’s explanation running 226 pages, and if ever enacted would put us on a path to long-term economic stagnation and decline.Biden’s tax increases are a perfect reflection of Washington Democrats’ philosophy of bigger government, redistributing income, and punishing success, increasing taxes to levels not seen in years.Under his budget, annual taxes collected each year would increase from  $4.8 trillion in 2022 to nearly $8 trillion in 2033, a 63% increase. Taxes as a share of the economy would increase to 20.1%, well above the 50- year average of 17.2%, and a level exceeded only once in our history in 1944.

Individual taxes as a share of the economy would increases to 10.5%, the highest level ever since the income tax began in 1913. The top individual tax rate would reach nearly 45%, the highest level since 1986.Corporate tax receipts would increase by $2.7 trillion over the next ten years, an increase of 56%. Corporate taxes as a share of the economy would increase from 1.7% to 2.6% in 2025, the highest level since 1979, and more than 50% higher than the modern average. The corporate tax rate would be raised to one of the highest in the world, higher than China and every other country in the OECD.

The article notes that the Biden tax increase is comparable to the tax increases proposed by President Hoover in 1932 as the economy was sinking into a downturn.

It is a pretty safe bet that if these tax increases are passed into law, the American economy will rapidly continue its downhill slide.