Consequences Of The Egyptian Revolution

The revolution in Egypt did not bring in a peace-loving democracy. It ended the rule of a government that had made peace with Israel. Today’s attack on Israel from Gaza and from Egypt confirmed that fact.

Today’s Washington Examiner reported on the terrorist attacks on Israel which killed eight people. The attacks were launched from Gaza through the Sinai Peninsula.

The article reports:

Though it seemed clear the gunmen had come through Egyptian territory, Gen. Khaled Fouda, the governor of the southern Sinai district, said no shooting had come from the Egyptian side.

“The incident underscores the weak Egyptian hold on Sinai and the broadening of the activities of terrorists,” said Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak. “The real source of the terror is in Gaza, and we will act against them with full force and determination.”

The Sinai desert, dominated by Bedouin tribes and never entirely under the control of the central government, have grown more violent since a popular uprising toppled longtime Egyptian ruler Hosni Mubarak in February. Since then, assailants have repeatedly blown up a crucial pipeline carrying natural gas to Israel and Jordan.

Egypt is in transition right now. According to the Financial Times on July 13, 2011, Egyptian elections are scheduled for November, having been postponed from their original date of September. Registration and campaigns will begin in September, but the voting will not happen for about a month and a half after that.

Unfortunately the chances of a new government in Egypt being a friend of Israel (or even not participating in any military action against Israel) are very slim. Israel lives in a bad neighborhood, and Egypt and Turkey were two countries in that neighborhood that respected Israel’s right to exist. Turkey is in the process of setting up a Muslim state and I don’t believe Egypt will be far behind. There goes the neighborhood.

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