{"id":22946,"date":"2014-06-05T17:08:51","date_gmt":"2014-06-05T21:08:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/?p=22946"},"modified":"2014-06-05T17:08:53","modified_gmt":"2014-06-05T21:08:53","slug":"global-warming-projects-vs-actual-figures-in-pictures","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/?p=22946","title":{"rendered":"Global Warming Projects vs. Actual Figures (In Pictures)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Yesterday WattsUpWithThat<\/a> posted an article reminding us that despite alarmist predictions<\/a> there has been a pause in global warming<\/a> for 17 years 9 [months] since September 1996. That seems to me to be a rather significant pause.<\/p>\n

The site posted a few graphs to tell the story:<\/p>\n

Figure 1. RSS<\/a> monthly global mean lower-troposphere temperature anomalies (dark blue<\/a>) and trend (thick bright blue line), September 1996 to May 2014, showing no trend for 17 years 9 months.<\/h5>\n

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Figure 2. Medium-term global temperature<\/a> projections from IPCC<\/a> (1990), January 1990 to April 2014 (orange region and red trend line), vs. observed anomalies (dark blue) and trend (bright blue) as the mean of the RSS and UAH<\/a> monthly satellite lower-troposphere temperature anomalies.<\/h5>\n

\"clip_image004\"<\/p>\n

Figure 3. Predicted temperature change since 2005 at a rate equivalent to 1.7 [1.0, 2.3] C\u00ba\/century (orange zone with thick red best-estimate trend line), compared with the observed anomalies (dark blue) and trend (bright blue).<\/h5>\n

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If my weatherman was this far off, I’d fire him!<\/p>\n

The article explains that the arrival of el Nino<\/a> may change these numbers this winter:<\/p>\n

In 1990, the IPCC\u2019s central estimate of near-term warming was higher by two-thirds than it is today. Then it was 2.8 C\/century equivalent. Now it is just 1.7 C\u00ba \u2013 and, as Fig. 3 shows, even that is proving to be a substantial exaggeration.<\/strong><\/p>\n

On the RSS satellite data, there has been no statistically-significant global warming for more than 26 years. None of the models predicted that, in effect, there would be no global warming for a quarter of a century.<\/strong><\/p>\n

New attempts to explain away the severe and growing discrepancy between prediction and reality emerge almost every day. Far too few of the scientists behind the climate scare have yet been willing to admit the obvious explanation \u2013 that the models have been programmed to predict far more warming than is now likely.<\/strong><\/p>\n

The long Pause<\/a> may well come to an end by this winter. An el Ni\u00f1o event has begun. The usual suspects have said it will be a record-breaker, but, as yet, there is too little information to say how much temporary warming it will cause. The temperature spikes caused by the el Ni\u00f1os of 1998, 2007, and 2010 are clearly visible in Figs. 1-3.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Stay tuned.<\/p>\n

\"Enhanced<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Yesterday WattsUpWithThat posted an article reminding us that despite alarmist predictions there has been a pause in global warming for 17 years 9 [months] since September 1996. That seems to me to be a rather significant pause. The site posted … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1031,7646,57,1322,3259,7645,7644],"class_list":["post-22946","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate","tag-el-nino-southern-oscillation","tag-global-warming","tag-intergovernmental-panel-on-climate-change","tag-prediction","tag-rss","tag-september-1996"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22946","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=22946"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22946\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22951,"href":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22946\/revisions\/22951"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=22946"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=22946"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rightwinggranny.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=22946"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}