The DEBKA File posted a report today on some of the consequences of the end of the Mubarak regime in Egypt and what that will mean for Israel. There is no good news here.
For starters, two Iranians warships are going to pass through the Suez Canal. One, the Iranian cruiser Kharg, is reported by DEBKA to be carrying long-range missiles for Hizballah which it plans to unload at a Syrian port or Beirut harbor.
The article reports:
"US State Department spokesman P.J Crowley said he was "highly skeptical" of the Syrian claim that the two ships' visit was for training. "If the ships move through the canal, we will evaluate what they actually do. It's not really about the ships. It's about what the ships are carrying, what's their destination, what's the cargo on board, where's it going, to whom and for what benefit," Crowley told a news conference.
"He was responding to questions in the wake of debkafile's disclosure that the Karg was carrying missiles for Hizballah and indicating that the US and all other UN members were authorized by UN sanctions against Iran to board and search Iranian ships suspected of carrying illegal weapons."
The article reports that now the Suez Canal can be used to bring weapons to Syria and Lebanon. This will break Israel's naval blockade on the Gaza Strip and bring Hamas the weapons that were too big to smuggle through the tunnels between Egypt and Gaza.
The article lists Iran's plans for the Suez Canal:
1. To cut off, even partially, the US military and naval Persian Gulf forces from their main route for supplies and reinforcements;
2. To establish an Iranian military-naval grip on the Suez Canal, through which 40 percent of the world's maritime freights pass every day:
3. To bring an Iranian military presence close enough to menace the Egyptian heartland of Cairo and the Nile Delta and squeeze it into joining the radical Iranian-Syrian-Iraqi-Turkish alliance;
4. To thread a contiguous Iranian military-naval line from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea through the Suez Canal and the Gaza Strip and up to the ports of Lebanon, where Hizballah has already seized power and toppled the pro-West government.
5. To eventually sever the Sinai Peninsula from Egypt, annex it to the Gaza Strip and establish a large Hamas-ruled Palestinian state athwart the Mediterranean, the Gulf of Aqaba and the Red Sea.
By comparison, a Fatah-led Palestinian state on the West Bank within the American orbit be politically and strategically inferior.
6. To tighten the naval and military siege on Israel.
Please read the entire article to understand the consequences of the fall of Mubarak and the fallout of the way President Obama handled the situation.
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